Montenegro vs Lithuania - European Championship Qualifier on November 16, 2023: Predicted outcome.

As the year gradually draws to a close, the anticipation for the 2024 European Championship in Germany is building. The first phase of ticket sales is concluding, and soon the fortunate ones will be notified if luck favored them in the ticket lottery. Meanwhile, the qualification phases are in full swing with return matches, and our focus shifts to Group G. In the clash between Montenegro and Lithuania, predictions lean towards the home team, the Montenegrin Reds and Yellows. The hosts are determined to keep their last theoretical chance of making it to the final intact. However, the "Sokoli" (Falcons) rely on the competition faltering to play into their hands.

In the same group, Hungary and Serbia currently hold stronger positions. Hungary, in particular, is considered a favorite for the top spot in the final standings. Given the current tableau, it's evident that Montenegro needs a victory on this matchday. The bookmakers are optimistic, offering top odds of 1.35 for a Montenegro win against Lithuania.



Montenegro became the third-youngest UEFA member after separating from Serbia in 2006, granting them the right to independently qualify for a Euro or World Cup. However, the Balkan men haven't achieved this yet, and their chances for the upcoming Euro 2024 in Germany don't look particularly promising.



The guests from Lithuania currently rank 134th in the FIFA rankings, a considerable 64 places behind their upcoming opponents. As expected, the Baltic team assumes the underdog role in this duel. Like their counterparts, the men in yellow-green jerseys have never participated in a major tournament, and the Euro next year will be a TV event for them.

In the first seven matches, the guests secured only one victory, bringing their total to six points with three draws. This places them fourth in the table, seven points behind a qualification spot with only one match remaining—an almost hopeless endeavor.

Head-to-head comparison record

The two teams have met three times so far, including the Euro qualification match this year and two encounters in the UEFA Nations League. Montenegro won two of these matches, while Lithuania has yet to win any. The first leg in September ended in a 2-2 draw in Kaunas, with all goals coming in the last twenty minutes.

In the Nations League five years ago, the Reds and Yellows secured a 2-0 home victory. The return leg was even more decisive, ending 4-1 in favor of the Falcons. Given this history, the hosts rightfully assume the favorites' role for the upcoming encounter, shaping our Montenegro vs. Lithuania prediction in favor of the home team.

Betting Tips and Odds for Montenegro vs Lithuania Prediction

For the hosts, this is a crucial match. Only a victory keeps the Falcons' hopes alive for the Euro final. However, they also need to win in Hungary on the final matchday, and Bulgaria must assist against Serbia. Overall, it's a complex situation, and the Reds and Yellows' chances are undoubtedly slim.

For the Baltic guests, the only option is to bid farewell to the qualification with a strong performance. After two matches without defeat, the Yellow-Greens aim to extend this streak. However, securing their second victory this year in Montenegro would be a surprise.

KEY-FACTS – Montenegro vs Lithuania TIPS:

  1. - Montenegro must win this match to keep their chances for the final alive.
  2. - Lithuania has won only one match this year.
  3. - The Falcons have been relatively weak in front of goal.
  4. - Lithuania is undefeated in the last two games.
  5. - Both teams had a lackluster performance in the Nations League.

      With FIFA's 70th-ranked team hosting the 134th-ranked, the favoritism rightfully leans towards the hosts, reflected in the low odds for Falcon victories. Given these circumstances, our focus shifts more towards goal-related bets. In the first leg, four goals were scored, and the guests have found the net in the last four encounters. Therefore, our Montenegro vs. Lithuania prediction leans towards both teams scoring, offering top odds of 2.32.

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