Chile vs Paraguay - World Cup Qualifiers South America on November 16, 2023: Predicted outcome.

While Europe is still uncertain about the nations participating in the 2024 EM in Germany, South America is already into the fifth matchday of CONMEBOL World Cup Qualifiers for 2026. In this traditionally league-style qualification format, where all ten members face each other in home and away fixtures, Chile and Paraguay are set for a crucial clash—our insights on this match are presented in this article. Both nations have won only one of their four games, placing them at seventh and eighth with four points each. However, only the top six teams secure a direct ticket to the World Cup in Canada, Mexico, and the USA, while the seventh still has a chance through intercontinental playoffs. The urgency for points significantly influences our Chile vs. Paraguay prediction. Particularly, the four previous games involving Paraguay were a footballing drought, with only three goals in total. This is certainly linked to the extremely defensive approach of the Guaraníes, but this strategy might not hold up as they aim for a spot in the 2026 World Cup, especially against lower-ranked teams.

Chile

The Chilean national football team has experienced an extremely fluctuating decade. On one hand, La Roja won the Copa América consecutively in 2015 and 2016, marking the country's only titles in the competition to date.

On the other hand, Chile missed the last two World Cups and was absent in both Russia and Qatar, despite reaching the Round of 16 in 2010 in South Africa and 2014 in Brazil.

Paraguay

The Paraguayan national football team not only won the Copa América twice in 1953 and 1979 but also successfully qualified for the FIFA World Cup eight times.

Their recent successful streak was between 1998 and 2010, qualifying for four consecutive tournaments. The highlight was undoubtedly the 2010 edition in South Africa, where the Guaraníes reached the quarterfinals, narrowly losing 0-1 to the eventual champions, Spain, in the final.

Head-to-head comparison record

A total of 64 international matches have taken place between the two nations, including the 1979 Copa América final. The overall record is quite balanced. Chile and Paraguay faced off in March 2023 in a friendly, with the Chilean team winning 3-2. Notably, in five of the last eight matches between them, there were at least three goals scored.

Betting Tips and Odds for Chile vs Paraguay Prediction

Bookmakers favor the Chilean team, but we find this assessment quite daring. In the Chile vs. Paraguay prediction, we would prefer to steer clear of the three-way system, especially with an enticing alternative—betting on over 2.5 goals. Despite Paraguay's limited goal involvements in the four qualification matches, suggesting a relatively low-scoring game, the Guaraníes are compelled to earn points in Santiago for a realistic shot at their first World Cup appearance in 16 years.

KEY-FACTS – Chile vs Paraguay TIPS:

1. - In five of the last eight matches between Chile and Paraguay, there were at least three goals.
2. - Chile has won only one of the last five international matches (two draws, two losses).
3. - Paraguay has lost five of the last eight international matches (two wins, one draw).

We anticipate a slightly more offensive approach from the guests than in the previous games. Consequently, we expect a goal-rich rather than a low-scoring affair, making the tip on over 2.5 goals an attractive choice with significant value.